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ANY ODDS GURU'S ?

 

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Ace-Ctrl AU Ace-Ctrl Member
Posts: 51 		 

Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 12:34 PM. Post 1
ive seem ...as have you, sum sic **** on here, like AA being busted by KQ 3times in 20mins same 2people... or flopping nut straight to have the board Trip up and give fullhouse 2times in 1hr, but whats the chances of this being delt any1 know ??

i was delt a flush in 5card draw, 2hands in a row !! , my opponent was delt 2pair on the same 2hands, and both times he draw a Fullhouse to beat me.

wtf... ?
odds pls if ne1 knows, 5handed 5card draw
 
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Ace-Ctrl AU Ace-Ctrl Member
Posts: 51 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 12:36 PM. Post 2
btw, with all these crazy 1in15000 odds happening, it feels like i win the lottery at the wrong end each week.
 
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iceman za3 ZA iceman za3 Veteran
Posts: 7600 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 12:44 PM. Post 3
What Buy in are you playing in the hands above?
 
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Ace-Ctrl AU Ace-Ctrl Member
Posts: 51 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 12:49 PM. Post 4
the buyin has no relevance ... in 5card draw im obv gonna raise with a flush delt, and 2pair gonna call...what i wanna know in this situation,

whats the chances of being Delt flush to being sucked out to 2pair hitting a FH twice in a row
 
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Ace-Ctrl AU Ace-Ctrl Member
Posts: 51 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 12:51 PM. Post 5
whats the odds firstly of being delt a flush in 5card ?....

what bout twice in a row ?

...add that with the chances of being delt 2pair in 5card, twice at the same time as the flushes


then add drawing the 4outer for a FH on both those hands...

seems impossible to me...
 
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Githead NL Githead Senior member
Posts: 1515 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 01:01 PM. Post 6
The odds of that happening get closer and closer to 100%, the more you play five card draw.

Please supply us with hand histories next time.
 
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Ace-Ctrl AU Ace-Ctrl Member
Posts: 51 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 01:25 PM. Post 7
sry bout the HH i didnt click on it, just left with the open jaw...

HH and Buyin's are irrelevant...im not askin for a complete analysis of the entire way it was played, just whats the odds of it happeneing.. no pot odds gurus about thats ok i'll get answer somehow
 
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Githead NL Githead Senior member
Posts: 1515 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 02:38 PM. Post 8
If you play the download version, you can go to statistics, open the session browser and find the session where this occured. Then find the hands you speak about and copy and paste the hand histories. They are relevant because they give your story credibility.

The odds of getting dealt a flush in five card draw are 500 to 1.
Getting dealt a flush twice in a row: 25000 to 1.
The odds of getting two pair are 20 to 1. Two pair twice in a row: 400 to 1.
But you have four opponents (I assume, HH lacking :P) so that makes 100 to 1.
The odds of making a full house are 11 to 1. Twice in a row: 140 to 1.
1 in 25.000 x 100 x 140 = 1 in 350 million.
 
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lykanthropos NO lykanthropos Enthusiast
Posts: 5115 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 02:48 PM. Post 9
With all the respect, that doesnt sound right Git.

U fastposted me as i was gettin some easy math. Straight vs 2 pair on flop

flop 678

u hold 59, and will win 80,40% (8 outa 10 times)

he/she hold 68, and will win 17,47% of the time.

How often this combination of hands is delt? Im not sure.. Git`s numbers for that might be correct.
 
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Githead NL Githead Senior member
Posts: 1515 		 

RE: Any Odds Guru's ?

Aug 22, 2008 02:52 PM. Post 10
But there is no flop in five card draw wink
 
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